Home loans remain stable

Home loans remain stable

The housing market stalled during November with the number of mortgages advanced to people buying a home remaining unchanged, figures have shown.

Around 44,000 loans were lent to people buying a property during the month, unchanged from October and the joint lowest level since last May, said the Council of Mortgage Lenders.

The figure was also 15% down on the number of loans advanced in November 2009, when the market was distorted by people buying lower-value properties rushing to complete transactions before the stamp duty holiday ended.

Howard Archer, chief UK and European economist at IHS Global Insight, said: "The CML data showing essentially stable but low mortgage approvals for house purchases in November reinforce our belief that house prices will not collapse but will trend down by some 10% from their 2010 peak levels through to the end of 2011, in the face of an unappetising mix of factors. Given that house prices have already fallen by some 3%, we believe that they will fall by around 7% in 2011."

He added that there were some signs that the number of properties coming on to the market was starting to dip, and this would provide some support for house prices, but much would depend on mortgage availability and how well the economy and employment levels hold up in the face of spending cuts.

The CML said figures from the Bank of England had shown a much bigger jump in remortgaging activity during the month, with 36,300 loans approved in November, up from 29,200 in October, suggesting activity in this part of the market will remain buoyant during the coming months.

 

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